Autori: Venturini, Andrea, Mengotto, Vanni
Titolo: Referendum Repubblica-Monarchia: la soluzione di un enigma
Periodico: Rivista di storia economica
Anno: 2012 - Fascicolo: 3 - Pagina iniziale: 487 - Pagina finale: 526

Even though half a century has passed since the institutional referendumwhich officially took place on June 2, 1946 - establishing the republicanform of Italian State - the disputes that arose about hypotheses offraudulent vote manipulation, overturning the actual vote result, are stillrelevant today. Without any intention of making a political analysis of referendumfacts, this work has the purpose to give an end to voting disputes,demonstrating in a statistic-probabilistic way, using Benford Law, theabsence of effective ballots manipulations. Besides, it was demonstrated,using simulations involving real votes, that potential fraudulent vote manipulationswould be discovered in most of the cases, especially the onesable to reverse the result.




SICI: 0393-3415(2012)3<487:RRLSDU>2.0.ZU;2-5
Testo completo: http://www.mulino.it/download/article/10.1410/38527
Testo completo alternativo: http://www.mulino.it/doi/10.1410/38527

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