Autori:
Revelli, Federico,
Lo Prete, AnnaTitolo:
Voter Turnout and City Performance.Periodico:
Università degli studi di Torino. Dip. Di Economia e Statistica Cognetti de Martiis. Working paper seriesAnno:
2014 - Volume:
10 - Fascicolo:
35 - Pagina iniziale:
1 - Pagina finale:
40We study the impact of exogenous variation in Italian municipal elections'
voter turnout rates on city performance scores and elected mayorsíindicators
of valence. First, we build a simple model of voluntary and costly expressive
voting, where the relative weight of ideology and valence issues over voting costs
determines how people vote, and if they actually turn out to vote. We show that
the cost of voting depresses voter turnout, yet can raise the chances of selecting
higher valence candidates and thereby improve government performance. Em-
pirically, city performance is measured along a number of dimensions including
a unique index of overall urban environmental quality, and mayorsívalence is
proxied by variables reáecting their professional experience and competence.
The staggered nature of the municipal election schedule allows us to exploit
exogenous variation in voter turnout rates through the 2000s due to the pres-
ence of concomitant regional, general and European parliament elections, and
to weather conditions (rainfall) on the election day. The results from a number
of speciÖcations and quality of policy-making indicators consistently point to
a negative impact of voter turnout rates on the performance of cities and the
valence of mayors.
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