Autori
Gallo, Giampiero M.Kempf, HubertTitolo
Cointegration, codependence and economic fluctuationsPeriodico
European University Institute of Badia Fiesolana (Fi). Department of Economics - Working papersAnno:
1995 - Fascicolo:
27 - Pagina iniziale:
1 - Pagina finale:
23The transmission of innovations to macroeconomic variables is traditionally studied concentrating on their permanent effects. Yet, there is no conclusive evidence that only the long-term dynamics should be of interest. In this paper we offer a method based on the notion of codependence to identify the structural innovations contributing to the stationary part of a vector of cointegrated (1,1) variables. To achieve this, we introduce the notion of common cycles of order i and of a complete set of common cycles, whose implications for economic fluctuations are fully derived and discussed.
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